Náutico vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
4 - 3
NAU
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 0
COR
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
CRZ
2 - 2
NAU
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 1
JUV
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 1
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 0
GOI
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 2
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |