Náutico vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 1
NAU
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
NAU
3 - 2
COT
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 May. 1983 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
SAN
1 - 0
COT
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1984 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
19%
23%
59%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
CAT
0 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |