Náutico vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
REM
2 - 2
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
NAU
3 - 2
ARN
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
TUN
1 - 1
NAU
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
ANA
4 - 1
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
NAU
2 - 0
REC
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
REM
2 - 2
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
CEA
2 - 0
REM
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
REM
1 - 0
SER
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
REM
1 - 2
ABC
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SAM
2 - 1
REM
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |