Náutico vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 3
NAU
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 0
NAU
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
ABC
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 2
NAU
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 0
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 1
VIL
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 0
CRI
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LON
2 - 0
PAY
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 1
PAY
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PAY
0 - 0
CRB
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |