Náutico vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 3
NAU
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 0
JEC
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
BAH
0 - 0
NAU
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
NAU
5 - 0
SAM
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
LON
1 - 0
NAU
27%
29%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
ATL
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
PAR
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
LON
1 - 1
PAR
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
OES
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAR
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |