Náutico vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 4
NAU
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 0
GOI
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 0
NAU
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 1
ATL
49%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
OES
0 - 2
JEC
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
OES
47%
28%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
OES
0 - 0
AVA
30%
29%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
OES
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
OES
1 - 1
LUV
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |