Série C Brazil Group A Round 6

Náutico vs Globo analysis

Náutico Globo
64 ELO 54
4.1% Tilt -10.8%
1248º General ELO ranking 9039º
53º Country ELO ranking 378º
ELO win probability
70.5%
Náutico
19.5%
Draw
10%
Globo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
Náutico
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10%
Win probability
Globo
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Náutico
+21%
-5%
Globo

ELO progression

Náutico
Globo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2019
CON
Confiança
1 - 1
Náutico
NAU
30%
28%
42%
64 54 10 0
19 May. 2019
TRE
Treze
0 - 1
Náutico
NAU
15%
26%
59%
64 45 19 0
16 May. 2019
NAU
Náutico
2 - 0
Campinense
CAM
77%
16%
7%
64 48 16 0
12 May. 2019
NAU
Náutico
0 - 1
Ferroviário
FER
73%
18%
9%
65 51 14 -1
10 May. 2019
BOT
Botafogo PB
2 - 1
Náutico
NAU
45%
25%
30%
66 67 1 -1

Matches

Globo
Globo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2019
GLO
Globo
3 - 1
Treze
TRE
65%
22%
13%
53 45 8 0
21 May. 2019
FER
Ferroviário
1 - 0
Globo
GLO
53%
25%
23%
54 52 2 -1
12 May. 2019
GLO
Globo
0 - 1
Sampaio Correa
SAM
34%
31%
35%
55 59 4 -1
04 May. 2019
GLO
Globo
2 - 0
Confiança
CON
40%
28%
32%
53 53 0 +2
28 Apr. 2019
IMP
Imperatriz
2 - 0
Globo
GLO
38%
29%
34%
53 49 4 0