Náutico vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
AMF
1 - 0
NAU
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 0
LUV
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
CRI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LON
0 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 1
GOI
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
PAY
0 - 1
FFL
45%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
FFL
2 - 2
JUV
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 1
VIL
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
AMF
4 - 2
FFL
53%
27%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |