Náutico vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
CRZ
4 - 2
NAU
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 2
COT
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAU
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 1
SCI
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
POR
3 - 2
NAU
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
FFL
1 - 1
SAO
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
ATP
0 - 0
FFL
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2008 |
FFL
1 - 7
GRE
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 0
FFL
52%
23%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
FFL
3 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |