Náutico vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
CRZ
3 - 1
NAU
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1982 |
MAR
0 - 0
NAU
68%
18%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
NAU
0 - 1
GRE
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
NAU
2 - 2
GUA
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1982 |
GRE
0 - 0
NAU
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
FER
0 - 2
VAS
13%
22%
66%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
TRE
2 - 0
FER
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
FER
1 - 2
FLA
11%
20%
69%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1982 |
NAU
2 - 3
FER
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |