Náutico vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
ABC
4 - 1
NAU
27%
23%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 0
CRB
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
TRE
4 - 3
NAU
18%
22%
60%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 0
IFC
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 2
CEA
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
SER
0 - 0
BAH
16%
21%
63%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 5
VIT
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 0
BAH
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 2
CSA
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | -1 |