Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-1
Náutico vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
NAU
1 - 4
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
REM
2 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1994 |
NAU
1 - 0
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1994 |
BRA
1 - 0
NAU
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1994 |
CRZ
2 - 0
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
PAL
3 - 0
CSA
91%
7%
2%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1998 |
CSA
0 - 1
PAL
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1997 |
CSA
2 - 6
ATP
24%
26%
51%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
CRZ
4 - 0
CSA
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1995 |
CSA
1 - 2
CRZ
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |