Pernambucano 1 Second Round Round 3

Náutico vs Chã Grande analysis

Náutico Chã Grande
73 ELO 38
7.9% Tilt 0.2%
1381º General ELO ranking 23964º
52º Country ELO ranking 729º
ELO win probability
88.3%
Náutico
9%
Draw
2.7%
Chã Grande

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.3%
Win probability
Náutico
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
2.8%
Win probability
Chã Grande
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Náutico
Chã Grande
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2013
PES
Pesqueira
3 - 2
Náutico
NAU
8%
16%
76%
74 39 35 0
24 Feb. 2013
NAU
Náutico
8 - 0
Petrolina
PET
84%
12%
4%
74 34 40 0
21 Feb. 2013
BEL
Belo Jardim FC
2 - 3
Náutico
NAU
10%
17%
73%
74 46 28 0
16 Feb. 2013
NAU
Náutico
0 - 1
Central SC
CEN
81%
13%
5%
74 47 27 0
14 Feb. 2013
PET
Petrolina
0 - 1
Náutico
NAU
9%
19%
73%
74 35 39 0

Matches

Chã Grande
Chã Grande
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2013
CHA
Chã Grande
1 - 1
Ypiranga PE
YPI
42%
24%
35%
38 40 2 0
24 Feb. 2013
SER
Serra Talhada
4 - 0
Chã Grande
CHA
54%
23%
23%
39 42 3 -1
21 Feb. 2013
PET
Petrolina
0 - 1
Chã Grande
CHA
41%
24%
35%
38 34 4 +1
17 Feb. 2013
CHA
Chã Grande
0 - 1
Belo Jardim FC
BEL
37%
25%
37%
39 45 6 -1
14 Feb. 2013
CEN
Central SC
2 - 1
Chã Grande
CHA
56%
24%
21%
40 46 6 -1