Pernambucano 1 1ª Fase round 6

Náutico vs Central SC analysis

Náutico Central SC
64 ELO 45
5.3% Tilt -15.3%
1296º General ELO ranking 5417º
54º Country ELO ranking 201º
ELO win probability
81.9%
Náutico
13.2%
Draw
4.9%
Central SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
Náutico
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
4.9%
Win probability
Central SC
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Náutico
+8%
+26%
Central SC

ELO progression

Náutico
Central SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2020
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
28%
26%
46%
64 76 12 0
15 Feb. 2020
NAU
Náutico
2 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
27%
25%
48%
63 75 12 +1
13 Feb. 2020
TCW
Toledo EC
0 - 2
Náutico
NAU
16%
23%
61%
62 47 15 +1
11 Feb. 2020
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Afogados
AFO
79%
13%
7%
63 45 18 -1
08 Feb. 2020
BOT
Botafogo PB
2 - 1
Náutico
NAU
53%
23%
24%
63 65 2 0

Matches

Central SC
Central SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2020
CEN
Central SC
0 - 0
Santa Cruz
SAN
12%
21%
68%
44 63 19 0
13 Feb. 2020
CEN
Central SC
1 - 0
Vitória das Tabocas
ACA
61%
22%
17%
44 31 13 0
29 Jan. 2020
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 0
Central SC
CEN
86%
11%
3%
44 76 32 0
26 Jan. 2020
SAL
Salgueiro
1 - 1
Central SC
CEN
52%
24%
23%
43 48 5 +1
19 Jan. 2020
CEN
Central SC
0 - 2
Retro FC
RFC
35%
25%
40%
45 45 0 -2