Pernambucano 1 Second Stage Round 9

Náutico vs Central SC analysis

Náutico Central SC
66 ELO 41
2.6% Tilt -4.1%
1280º General ELO ranking 5184º
54º Country ELO ranking 180º
ELO win probability
77.2%
Náutico
15.9%
Draw
6.9%
Central SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
Náutico
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6.9%
Win probability
Central SC
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Náutico
+6%
+72%
Central SC

ELO progression

Náutico
Central SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2017
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Belo Jardim FC
BEL
80%
14%
6%
66 40 26 0
23 Mar. 2017
UNI
Atlético Cearense
0 - 9
Náutico
NAU
13%
21%
65%
66 37 29 0
18 Mar. 2017
SAL
Salgueiro
2 - 0
Náutico
NAU
23%
26%
52%
67 60 7 -1
12 Mar. 2017
NAU
Náutico
1 - 0
Santa Cruz
SAN
35%
25%
40%
67 73 6 0
05 Mar. 2017
NAU
Náutico
2 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
26%
25%
50%
66 77 11 +1

Matches

Central SC
Central SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2017
CEN
Central SC
0 - 2
Salgueiro
SAL
16%
25%
59%
43 61 18 0
18 Mar. 2017
SAN
Santa Cruz
5 - 1
Central SC
CEN
85%
12%
4%
43 72 29 0
05 Mar. 2017
BEL
Belo Jardim FC
1 - 4
Central SC
CEN
43%
27%
30%
41 42 1 +2
02 Mar. 2017
CEN
Central SC
0 - 2
Belo Jardim FC
BEL
48%
27%
25%
43 40 3 -2
20 Feb. 2017
SAL
Salgueiro
2 - 1
Central SC
CEN
63%
23%
14%
43 59 16 0