Pernambucano 1 Title group Round 7

Náutico vs Central SC analysis

Náutico Central SC
59 ELO 51
5.1% Tilt -9.6%
1263º General ELO ranking 5195º
54º Country ELO ranking 180º
ELO win probability
68%
Náutico
19.5%
Draw
12.5%
Central SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
Náutico
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.5%
Win probability
Central SC
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Náutico
+9%
+74%
Central SC

ELO progression

Náutico
Central SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2015
NAU
Náutico
3 - 3
Piauí
PIA
75%
17%
8%
60 43 17 0
01 Mar. 2015
SAN
Santa Cruz
0 - 0
Náutico
NAU
58%
23%
19%
60 66 6 0
26 Feb. 2015
NAU
Náutico
1 - 2
Santa Cruz
SAN
38%
26%
36%
60 65 5 0
22 Feb. 2015
CEN
Central SC
1 - 1
Náutico
NAU
24%
27%
49%
60 49 11 0
20 Feb. 2015
PIA
Piauí
0 - 2
Náutico
NAU
22%
25%
53%
60 43 17 0

Matches

Central SC
Central SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2015
CEN
Central SC
1 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
9%
19%
72%
49 76 27 0
26 Feb. 2015
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 0
Central SC
CEN
79%
15%
6%
49 75 26 0
22 Feb. 2015
CEN
Central SC
1 - 1
Náutico
NAU
24%
27%
49%
49 60 11 0
19 Feb. 2015
CEN
Central SC
1 - 2
Santa Cruz
SAN
15%
23%
62%
49 66 17 0
08 Feb. 2015
SAL
Salgueiro
0 - 1
Central SC
CEN
56%
24%
20%
48 56 8 +1