Náutico vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAU
28%
27%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 0
BRA
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 0
NAU
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
ARN
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 2
OES
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CEA
5 - 2
AMF
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
OES
3 - 1
CEA
17%
26%
57%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
CEA
3 - 4
BOT
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CEA
3 - 1
LUV
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 2
CEA
60%
22%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |