Náutico vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
AFO
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
CUI
0 - 1
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
BAH
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 2
NAU
11%
21%
68%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
CUI
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
3 - 1
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 0
BOT
20%
21%
59%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 0
BOT
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
4 - 1
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
5 - 0
DPB
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |