Náutico vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
5.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
45.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 0
CUI
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
NAU
65%
24%
12%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
AMF
4 - 0
VIT
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
AMF
32%
30%
38%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
AMF
0 - 2
PAL
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
AMF
1 - 0
CRB
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 1
AMF
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |