Náutico vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
16%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
0 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
NAU
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LUV
3 - 0
NAU
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
CRI
0 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALT
33%
26%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
14%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ALT
4 - 0
TMI
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
COR
2 - 1
ALT
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALT
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |