Náutico vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 3
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRA
76%
15%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
VAS
1 - 0
POR
60%
22%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
RIO
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 2
POR
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
POR
4 - 1
CAT
73%
19%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 2
POR
17%
20%
63%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |