Nations vs Heart of Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+144%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nations
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BOF
1 - 0
NFC
78%
16%
7%
|
14 | 64 | 50 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
NFC
4 - 0
REA
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 65 | 54 | +3 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AGO
1 - 0
NFC
74%
18%
8%
|
12 | 67 | 55 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MED
1 - 0
NFC
75%
17%
8%
|
12 | 67 | 55 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NFC
2 - 2
ASA
18%
26%
56%
|
11 | 67 | 56 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
HEA
0 - 0
HEA
37%
32%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HEA
1 - 2
ADU
33%
31%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
ACC
2 - 1
HEA
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HEA
0 - 0
KFC
34%
31%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
BGS
2 - 2
HEA
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |