Naters vs Fribourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
YOU
3 - 1
NAT
74%
16%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MEY
5 - 2
NAT
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
DUD
3 - 0
NAT
56%
22%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NAT
1 - 0
FCM
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 3
NAT
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 1
MEY
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 1
FCM
54%
22%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
FRI
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 2
ECH
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
YVE
1 - 1
FRI
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |