Naters vs FC Baulmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FCM
4 - 1
NAT
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
NAT
1 - 3
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 2
NAT
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
NAT
3 - 1
DUD
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
YOU
0 - 1
NAT
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Baulmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 5
SER
16%
20%
65%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 3
CSC
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
0 - 2
ETO
35%
24%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 0
BAU
77%
15%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 2
MAR
68%
18%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |