Næstved vs Roskilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 1
NAE
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HVI
0 - 2
NAE
29%
23%
48%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
NAE
2 - 3
SKI
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
NAE
2 - 0
AKA
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
VEJ
2 - 1
NAE
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AKA
0 - 4
ROS
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 0
ROS
24%
22%
54%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ROS
6 - 0
NYK
87%
10%
3%
|
64 | 10 | 54 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BIF
1 - 0
ROS
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
ROS
0 - 2
OBK
29%
24%
48%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |