Næstved vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 4
NAE
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
LFA
3 - 1
NAE
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
NAE
0 - 2
SON
19%
22%
60%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
DAL
4 - 3
NAE
58%
20%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
NAE
1 - 4
OLS
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
BGA
5 - 0
AVA
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
BGA
3 - 1
JAM
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
LYN
3 - 2
BGA
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 2
BGA
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
BGA
5 - 1
B19
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |