Nasaf Qarshi vs FC AGMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
7º
1º
34
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 55 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 55 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 54 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 54 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 46 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 33 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 30 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 29 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 19 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
30.5% | 15.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
13% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
QOQ
0 - 2
NAS
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
PAK
6 - 3
NAS
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
NAS
2 - 2
BUN
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
XOR
1 - 1
NAS
23%
28%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
NAS
4 - 0
QIZ
46%
28%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2025 |
OLM
2 - 2
NEF
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
OLM
12 - 1
NFA
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
QOQ
1 - 3
OLM
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
OLM
4 - 3
AND
54%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
BUN
1 - 0
OLM
43%
26%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |