Nasaf Qarshi vs FC AGMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
6º
1º
47
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 0
NAS
40%
25%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 1
NAS
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NAS
3 - 0
AND
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 2
NAS
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
QIZ
0 - 1
NAS
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
OLM
1 - 0
TER
57%
22%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
BUN
0 - 1
OLM
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DSA
3 - 2
OLM
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
OLM
2 - 1
NAV
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AND
2 - 3
OLM
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |