Nardò vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GAE
0 - 0
NAR
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 1
REA
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 0
NAR
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ISC
2 - 0
NAR
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NAR
2 - 1
IRS
72%
17%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 1
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 2
FRA
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
TUR
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 1
ANG
83%
12%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
INT
2 - 4
TUR
27%
24%
50%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |