Nardò vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
17.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 0
AUD
28%
28%
44%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
USB
1 - 0
NAR
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 0
LAV
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MOL
1 - 1
NAR
54%
22%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 1
FCF
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
SOR
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
RAA
0 - 1
SOR
17%
24%
60%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
PIC
2 - 2
SOR
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SOR
0 - 3
POR
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
AUD
1 - 1
SOR
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |