Nardò vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
FBC
2 - 2
NAR
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
NAR
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 1
ASF
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NAR
5 - 0
RAA
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 1
NAR
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
FIA
1 - 1
TAR
25%
28%
46%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FBC
0 - 2
FIA
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
FIA
1 - 0
ASF
45%
28%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIA
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FIA
4 - 0
RAA
50%
26%
24%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |