Nardò vs Herculaneum 1924 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
RPO
0 - 1
NAR
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 1
TRA
43%
27%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SSE
0 - 0
NAR
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
CYN
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SSM
0 - 3
NAR
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Herculaneum 1924
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
AVH
0 - 0
PIC
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BIS
2 - 1
AVH
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AVH
2 - 1
MDC
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
POL
2 - 2
AVH
14%
18%
69%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AVH
2 - 1
AGR
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |