Nardò vs ASD San Giorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 1
NAR
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 2
ROT
43%
25%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
USB
2 - 0
NAR
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 3
FCF
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PVM
0 - 1
NAR
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
ASD San Giorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
VIR
26%
23%
52%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
BIS
1 - 1
ASD
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
HYR
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
ASD
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
MOL
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |