Narcea vs Ribadesella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
NAR
8 - 0
AST
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
AST
3 - 2
NAR
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
NAR
1 - 0
GRU
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
POD
2 - 3
NAR
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
NAR
2 - 2
HIS
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ribadesella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
RIB
1 - 0
REA
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
REA
1 - 1
RIB
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ENA
1 - 0
RIB
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
RIB
3 - 1
COD
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 1
RIB
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |