Narcea vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
63%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
MOS
1 - 2
NAR
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
DPT
2 - 1
NAR
29%
26%
45%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAR
1 - 1
COL
31%
29%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PCF
1 - 0
NAR
56%
25%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 0
SLA
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
AVI
2 - 0
DPT
81%
14%
5%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
PCF
1 - 3
AVI
24%
27%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
AVI
1 - 1
VAL
80%
15%
6%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
RIB
1 - 1
AVI
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
AVI
2 - 1
RTI
72%
19%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |