Narcea vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+189%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PCF
0 - 1
NAR
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NAR
1 - 0
GOZ
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BOA
1 - 3
NAR
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CLA
3 - 2
NAR
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NAR
4 - 0
COR
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NAI
0 - 1
CLA
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
COR
1 - 0
NAI
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAI
1 - 1
PRV
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VCF
5 - 0
NAI
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NAI
2 - 3
TIN
54%
23%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |