Narcea vs CD Manuel Rubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HIS
2 - 2
NAR
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NAR
2 - 2
FRE
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PDV
2 - 1
NAR
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 1
ATL
48%
23%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LLA
3 - 4
NAR
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Manuel Rubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
POD
2 - 2
MAN
80%
12%
8%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 3
HIS
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 1
MAN
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PDV
3 - 1
MAN
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
MAN
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |