Nara-ShBFR vs Fortuna Mytyshchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2006 |
NAR
2 - 1
FBK
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2006 |
SZP
2 - 2
NAR
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2006 |
VOR
0 - 0
NAR
51%
26%
24%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2006 |
NAR
0 - 2
TEK
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 1
NAR
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Fortuna Mytyshchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2006 |
TOR
0 - 1
MYT
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2006 |
MYT
2 - 0
FKR
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2006 |
SAC
1 - 2
MYT
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
FKS
2 - 1
MYT
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
FBK
1 - 1
MYT
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |