Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
16º
16º
7
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
18 | 62 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 57 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 52 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 46 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 44 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 35 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 34 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 28 |
16º
|
22% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
4.5% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
95.5% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
JAV
0 - 0
NAP
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
RAD
0 - 0
NAP
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 7
PAR
24%
27%
50%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
ZEL
0 - 0
NAP
59%
23%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 2
NPA
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
NOV
2 - 0
RAD
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2025 |
PAR
5 - 1
NOV
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 4
ZEL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
NPA
1 - 2
NOV
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 3
ČUK
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |