Q. Europa League 2da Ronda. Final
Global 8-0
Napoli vs Vllaznia Shkodër analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
VLZ
0 - 3
NAP
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAN
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
PAN
0 - 1
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NAP
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACM
16%
25%
59%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vllaznia Shkodër
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
VLZ
0 - 0
TIR
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
DIN
2 - 0
VLZ
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
VLZ
0 - 3
NAP
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
VLZ
0 - 0
FCK
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
FCK
1 - 2
VLZ
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |