Europa League . 1/16
Global 1-2
Napoli vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACM
57%
22%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAP
30%
26%
44%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAP
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
17%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAP
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
MAL
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ATH
0 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |