Napoli vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
TRE
1 - 1
NAP
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 0
CES
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
NAP
2 - 0
REG
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
REG
2 - 1
NAP
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
TER
0 - 2
CHI
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
ASS
1 - 1
TER
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
GEN
6 - 1
TER
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
TER
1 - 1
ATL
20%
27%
53%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
TOR
0 - 0
TER
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |