Napoli vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 4
NAP
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
NAP
2 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
NAP
1 - 0
LAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NAP
0 - 2
FIO
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
NAP
2 - 0
PRG
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LEC
4 - 0
TOR
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VER
3 - 0
LEC
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LEC
1 - 1
INT
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 0
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
LEC
0 - 1
UDI
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |