Serie A Round 32

Napoli vs Lazio analysis

Napoli Lazio
90 ELO 88
10.5% Tilt -1.8%
General ELO ranking 17º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.3%
Napoli
22.7%
Draw
22.9%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
Napoli
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.9%
Win probability
Lazio
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Napoli
-1%
-4%
Lazio

ELO progression

Napoli
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Inter
INT
34%
26%
40%
90 93 3 0
11 Apr. 2021
SAM
Sampdoria
0 - 2
Napoli
NAP
22%
24%
54%
90 82 8 0
07 Apr. 2021
JUV
Juventus
2 - 1
Napoli
NAP
62%
21%
17%
90 94 4 0
03 Apr. 2021
NAP
Napoli
4 - 3
Crotone
CRO
80%
14%
7%
90 72 18 0
21 Mar. 2021
ROM
Roma
0 - 2
Napoli
NAP
51%
23%
26%
90 89 1 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
LAZ
Lazio
5 - 3
Benevento
BEN
75%
16%
9%
88 79 9 0
11 Apr. 2021
VER
Hellas Verona
0 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
24%
24%
52%
88 81 7 0
03 Apr. 2021
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Spezia
SPE
75%
16%
10%
88 79 9 0
21 Mar. 2021
UDI
Udinese
0 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
22%
24%
54%
88 81 7 0
17 Mar. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
89%
8%
3%
88 97 9 0