Napoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
FIO
0 - 0
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
NAP
4 - 0
TRI
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
NAP
2 - 1
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
NOV
2 - 1
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
NAP
1 - 1
JUV
35%
24%
41%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
LAZ
1 - 1
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
PRO
2 - 0
LAZ
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
UDI
1 - 1
LAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAT
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
TOR
3 - 1
LAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |