Serie B round 14

Napoli vs Frosinone analysis

Napoli Frosinone
71 ELO 61
-16.5% Tilt -17.1%
General ELO ranking 180º
Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
60%
Napoli
23.5%
Draw
16.5%
Frosinone

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
Napoli
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.5%
Win probability
Frosinone
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Napoli
+2%
-8%
Frosinone

ELO progression

Napoli
Frosinone
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2006
PES
Pescara
0 - 1
Napoli
NAP
30%
28%
42%
71 58 13 0
18 Nov. 2006
NAP
Napoli
1 - 0
Bologna
BOL
38%
29%
33%
70 75 5 +1
13 Nov. 2006
BAR
SSC Bari
0 - 1
Napoli
NAP
43%
29%
28%
70 67 3 0
09 Nov. 2006
NAP
Napoli
1 - 0
Parma
PAR
22%
25%
53%
69 84 15 +1
06 Nov. 2006
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Juventus
JUV
10%
22%
68%
68 92 24 +1

Matches

Frosinone
Frosinone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2006
FRO
Frosinone
1 - 1
Mantova
MAN
37%
28%
36%
61 68 7 0
18 Nov. 2006
FRO
Frosinone
1 - 0
SSC Bari
BAR
42%
28%
30%
60 66 6 +1
11 Nov. 2006
CES
Cesena
2 - 1
Frosinone
FRO
63%
21%
16%
61 68 7 -1
04 Nov. 2006
FRO
Frosinone
2 - 1
Bologna
BOL
25%
29%
47%
60 76 16 +1
01 Nov. 2006
FRO
Frosinone
2 - 1
Lecce
LEC
23%
25%
53%
59 73 14 +1