Napoli vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 1
NAP
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
FCC
1 - 0
NAP
45%
29%
27%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
NAP
1 - 0
VNZ
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
NAP
3 - 1
PRO
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 0
NAP
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
PAD
1 - 2
ASS
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
VER
3 - 2
PAD
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
PAD
2 - 4
ACP
68%
19%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAD
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
PAD
2 - 2
PAR
70%
19%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |