Napoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
MOD
0 - 3
NAP
22%
29%
49%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
NAP
3 - 0
MOD
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
NAP
1 - 0
GEN
73%
17%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
FIO
4 - 2
NAP
33%
29%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACM
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
VER
1 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
BRE
2 - 3
VER
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
CES
3 - 3
BRE
52%
28%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
BRE
3 - 0
PIS
43%
29%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
PIA
1 - 1
BRE
43%
30%
27%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |