Serie A Round 31

Napoli vs Atalanta analysis

Napoli Atalanta
81 ELO 82
-11% Tilt -9.3%
General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.2%
Napoli
26.6%
Draw
28.2%
Atalanta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
Napoli
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.2%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Napoli
-1%
-5%
Atalanta

ELO progression

Napoli
Atalanta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2009
SAM
Sampdoria
2 - 2
Napoli
NAP
57%
24%
19%
81 85 4 0
22 Mar. 2009
NAP
Napoli
0 - 0
Milan
ACM
21%
24%
55%
81 90 9 0
15 Mar. 2009
REG
Reggina
1 - 1
Napoli
NAP
45%
27%
28%
81 78 3 0
08 Mar. 2009
NAP
Napoli
0 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
32%
26%
42%
81 86 5 0
28 Feb. 2009
JUV
Juventus
1 - 0
Napoli
NAP
72%
18%
10%
81 90 9 0

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2009
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
42%
27%
31%
82 86 4 0
22 Mar. 2009
LEC
Lecce
2 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
38%
28%
35%
82 76 6 0
15 Mar. 2009
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 0
Torino
TOR
61%
23%
16%
82 78 4 0
08 Mar. 2009
ACM
Milan
3 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
68%
20%
12%
82 90 8 0
01 Mar. 2009
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 2
Chievo
CHI
59%
22%
18%
82 79 3 0