Napoli vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
NAP
1 - 2
JUV
48%
27%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
MAN
0 - 1
NAP
26%
32%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
NAP
0 - 0
BOL
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
FIO
3 - 0
NAP
59%
25%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPA
53%
28%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
BOL
30%
30%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
BRE
0 - 1
VAR
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
ROM
1 - 0
VAR
53%
26%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
TOR
42%
30%
28%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |